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Location:

SLC,UT,

Member Since:

Apr 28, 2011

Gender:

Male

Goal Type:

Other

Running Accomplishments:

PR Table and Notable Races

Marathon:
2:21:12 (Chicago); 2:20:41 (CIM)

Half Marathon: 1:05:45 (Long Beach)
10K: 30:03 (Portland)

All race results:
2011 - 2012 - 2013 - 2014 - 2015 - 2016

Personal:

   

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Miles:This week: 0.00 Month: 0.00 Year: 0.00
Running MilesSwimming YardsBike Miles
8.000.000.00

AM - 6 miles, easy.

PM - 2 miles even easier. Shake out jog from Scott's house to the mouth of Providence Canyon and back.

TOU 1/2 tomorrow morning. Last year my goals were to run 1:05-something and win the race. I met one of those objectives. So I think I'll keep the targets the same for this time around. 

Here are some pre-race thoughts that I want to get down now, so my race report isn't 10 pages long... and some of this is for my own benefit - it helps me look at things objectively.

My training has been quite a bit different this summer than in 2011. Last summer I was doing consistent speed workouts throughout July/August, raced a decent amount, and came into TOU 1/2 tapered and sharp. I didn't have an "A+" day, and Paul ran a really nice race to beat me soundly, but it was still a great cap to the summer and launched me on the path to run 1:05:45 at Long Beach in October. [2011 TOU 1/2 Report]

This summer I've basically just been logging lots of miles, kept things very unstructured for most of the time, having fun and not thinking too hard about running - rather than think about it - I've just been doing it, listening to what the body says feels right. I think I accomplished what I set out to do during these months. Mentally and physically I feel really good. Only in the past 2-3 weeks has some real intensity been added back into the mix. I was looking over my log last night... while I knew that my overall volume of running has been higher this summer, I didn't quite realize the extent of what I've done recently - 145, 160, 156, 158, 155 the last 5 weeks (I don't feel like I've been running that much, though!). My overall volume is up ~65% in the 10 days before the race this year compared to last year, so not much of a taper this year (but that is somewhat by design, as the TOU Marathon is only 3 weeks away and I can't really cut back too much yet)...

Looking at those numbers got me curious about how much volume I did leading up to other "target" half-marathons (and I threw in the PHX 15K because that was my competitive tune-up race before Boston). Clearly, I cut back a lot more leading up to 2011 TOU 1/2, Long Beach, and Duluth...

This last month leading up to tomorrow has been most similar (again, in terms of volume) to the Phoenix race, where I ran really well (one of my top races all-time), but still about 10-15% higher. Luckily I have a very extravagant spreadsheet with lots of data that pumps out all kinds of tables and graphs with only a few clicks...

In terms of workouts - the thing I love about the track is that it tells you exactly where you stand and it gives me a very good idea of what to expect in races. Well, I've stayed off the track the entire summer (by design) and my road workouts have been on different routes than I've used in the past (again, by design). I've sort of just mixed most of them into my run commuting back and forth from work. So I have no predicted-performance "indicators" - I'm just going to go out tomorrow, run as fast as I can, and see what happens. It will be an interesting case study (n=1) to see what the results of this kind of training (ie. super-high volume, even by my standards, not much cut-back this week, and low-key approach to the workouts over the past month in general) end up being for this half-marathon, and how my performance shapes up compared to last year. I think its perfectly reasonable to expect to be under 50 minutes at ten miles, but as everyone who has run this course knows, the difference between a good and great race at TOU 1/2 is how you run miles 11 and 12.

In any case, the marathon in 3 weeks is my BIG target, and tomorrow's run will give me the best idea of what kind of time I should be targeting.

Comments
From Bam on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 08:52:14 from 89.204.164.50

Good luck tomorrow. I'm sure you'll fly - dig deep in miles 11 and 12 and you'll be smiling.

Love the analysis and it's great that you've stuck to your guns. All the hard work is accruing interest and when it's time to withdraw everything, you'll be surprised how much you've banked.

Enjoy tomorrow.

From Bret on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 09:53:02 from 64.128.133.66

Jake - good luck tomorrow - no doubt you will do well by anyone's standards. Looked at the course profile (cannot believe you did not post that along with all of the other graphs and charts :)) I see that the only climb is between 11 and 12 - but it is a downhill from there. The overall descent seems moderate enough that the change shouldn't be too significant on your quads - but I guess you will find out when you get there.

Really curious to see what the high mileage and lack of a marked taper will show. My prediction is that you are so fit - that it won't have a negative affect on performance for you at all.

Go get em.

From Jake K on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 09:56:44 from 155.100.226.191

Most of the bloggers know the course profile pretty well, as they've run the half or full up in Logan. Most of the elevation loss is in the first 10K. After that you really have to work - and that hill comes at a rough time! Last year I didn't expect that part of the race to be as tough as it was and split ~10:40 for those two miles. This year I know what I'm getting into.

From RileyCook on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 10:25:53 from 65.130.72.198

Good luck tomorrow, see you up there! Oh and go easy on me.

From emruns on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 10:33:40 from 76.27.114.171

You definitely have a future in statistics! Nice graphs! Good luck tomorrow. I hope the race goes well. Last year was kind of hot, so maybe some cooler weather will result in faster times!

From Jake K on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 10:34:52 from 155.100.226.191

haha maybe I could teach 5th grade statistics :-)

Should be cooler than last year... and everything feels cool after Boston.

From Rachelle on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 11:17:27 from 199.190.170.28

Wow all of those numbers and graphs and crap are making me dizzy. Good luck tomorrow. Have fun and enjoy running fast and being in the best shape of your life!

Most improtantly don't forget to try Aggie icecream after the race.

From scottkeate on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 11:48:57 from 216.49.181.254

I like that you've mixed up your training to get an idea what works best for you. I suspect you will perform great. I'll be looking forward to your race report tomorrow, especially the good news about how much faster you ran miles 11 and 12 :-)

From MarkP on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 12:06:53 from 65.130.116.232

Cool stuff. It will be interesting to see where you are "at" after tomorrow's race. Good luck--knowing the course is a big +!

From DaleG on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 12:59:37 from 66.87.64.13

Good luck tomorrow.

From Lulu Walls on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 13:54:19 from 86.200.184.220

Have some fun tomorrow! I am curious how the Krupicka-type training plan is going to work for you :)

From Jake K on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 13:57:33 from 155.100.226.191

My training is not Krupticka-like! That's an insult to me!!! lol I actually run :-)

From Kam on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 14:06:19 from 68.66.163.179

You'll run well, Jake. I can't wait to read all the race reports.

From Lulu Walls on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 14:34:22 from 86.200.184.220

What? The guy used to run like 200 miles a week with like 20'000 feet of gain just for FUN! The for fun part was what I was talking about...

From Jake K on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 14:36:46 from 155.100.226.191

Oh I thought you meant the actually running part, and not walking up mountains :-)

Both are fun!

From Lulu Walls on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 14:39:50 from 86.200.184.220

Walking?!? Where is the respect :) You are just jealous of his flowing locks!

From Holt on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 19:10:59 from 67.2.232.201

Have fun and race well!

From Kendall on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 19:32:08 from 208.187.252.10

Spreadsheets, graphs, performance indicators...imagine how I might succeed at work if I got this excited about our financials in the same way. Good to see others obsessing in the details. We're such nerds. Good luck tomorrow.

From Fritz on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 20:42:10 from 76.27.28.67

next time could you give us some pvalues on the variables in your predictive model? Good luck tomorrow!

From allie on Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 23:04:13 from 75.146.90.170

i couldn't really look at the data because the color scheme on your bar graph clashes with the colors of the blog.

hope that alarm is set for 4:59am. good luck tomorrow.

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